TPOEM Predictions: 12 May

I’ve included most likely scores, which don’t really ever diverge from 2-1, 1-1 or 1-2.  I’m not betting on or paying much attention to that the moment – but (at a very early stage) its probabilities have been quite close to reality. Number of goals is something I’m starting to pay more attention to and bet where I see a clear difference to bookmakers.

Today I’ve backed a Norwich win at home, and layed Newcastle, Everton and Liverpool wins – along with a few over/under 2.5 goals bets.

 

TPOEM Predictions: 4 May

This week I have used probable starting line-ups to compile the predictions a little earlier than usual (and include fixtures from the whole weekend).

The model’s stranger predictions include the expectation that Swansea have a ~37% chance of beating Man City at home, and also West Ham are heavier favourites than Betfair odds would suggest. Today I’m laying victories for Man City, Spurs and Newcastle.